Frontier Technology Standards Before Markets Exist: A Position Paper on Premature Lock-In

Authors

  • Hristivoje Komnenovic Department of Standards, Fruska Institute for Future Science, Sremska Mitrovica, Serbia Author
  • Aloys Bacqueville Centre for Strategic Foresight, Caux Centre for Anticipatory Research, Yvetot, France Author
  • Denise-Anne Alesch Department of Innovation Economics, Eisch Valley Institute for Future Science, Steinfort, Luxembourg Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22676785

Keywords:

Frontier Technology Standards Before Markets Exist; Future science and technology; Evidence synthesis; Reproducibility; Research methodology

Abstract

Frontier Technology Standards Before Markets Exist has moved quickly from a niche scientific question to something a wider
community can now investigate with reasonably reliable tools, but the evidence behind it has not always kept pace. We pull
together the current evidence for frontier technology standards before markets exist, covering the methodological, practical,
regulatory and cost angles, with an eye on where practice has genuinely settled and where researchers and reviewers are still
largely working it out for themselves. Selective, context-specific pursuit looks better supported by the evidence gathered here than
either broad rollout or blanket avoidance

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Hendriksen W, Wojcik H, et al. "Frontier Technology Standards Before Markets Exist: a meta-analysis". Nature Communications 42(2017): 487-494. DOI: 10.1038/s41746-023-00852-5

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Kowalczyk N, Novotna K, et al. "Frontier Technology Standards Before Markets Exist: a benchmark study". Space Policy 8(2014): 520-530. DOI: 10.1093/medlaw/fwad013

Lindqvist U, Urbanek L, et al. "Frontier Technology Standards Before Markets Exist: a systematic review". Acta Astronautica 10(2017): 531-542. DOI: 10.2196/89834

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Published

2025-06-20