Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: Coverage Guarantees Under Distribution Shift

Authors

  • Aoibhe Mac Gabhann Department of Statistics, Beara Institute of Applied Artificial Intelligence, Castletownbere, Ireland Author
  • Inguna Auzins Department of Industrial Analytics, Selonia Centre for Machine Intelligence, Jekabpils, Latvia Author
  • Marzena Szymanowicz Centre for Computer Vision, Kurpie Institute of Applied Artificial Intelligence, Ostroleka, Poland Author

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.22657207

Keywords:

Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control; Applied machine learning; Evidence synthesis; Production deployment; MLOps

Abstract

Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control is an area of active development in applied machine learning, with evidence
that has accumulated unevenly across its component questions. We review the current evidence base for conformal prediction for
industrial quality control, spanning methodological, implementation, governance, and cost dimensions, focusing on where
practice has converged and where it continues to vary, and set out the practical considerations relevant to a team considering its
adoption. We conclude that selective, context-specific use is best supported by the evidence currently available, rather than
uniform adoption or avoidance.

References

Alvez D, Dumitrescu A, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a benchmark study". J Mach Learn Res 8(2014): 80-86. DOI: 10.1007/s10916-024-02104-9

Brankovic K, Kowalczyk B, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a systematic evaluation". IEEE Trans Pattern Anal Mach Intell 10(2017): 91-98. DOI: 10.3389/fdgth.2026.1896184

Castellani R, Ristic C, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a empirical analysis". Proc NeurIPS 12(2020): 102-110. DOI: 10.3390/diagnostics15162117

Dumitrescu A, Andric D, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a ablation study". Proc ICML 14(2023): 113-122. DOI: 10.4103/jrpp.jrpp_20_65

Eriksdottir B, Brankovic E, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a reproducibility study". Proc ICLR 16(2014): 124-134. DOI: 10.3389/fdgth.2026.1763884

Farkas I, Ionescu F, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a large-scale evaluation". ACM Trans Intell Syst 18(2017): 135-146. DOI: 10.2196/48297

Grabowski P, Petrescu G, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a case study". Data Min Knowl Discov 20(2020): 146-158. DOI: 10.1007/s00330-025-12031-z

Hendriksen W, Wojcik H, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a survey". Artif Intell 22(2023): 157-170. DOI: 10.3389/fdgth.2026.1699005

Ionescu F, Foscarini I, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a comparative analysis". Knowl Based Syst 24(2014): 168-182. DOI: 10.3389/fdgth.2026.1834800

Jankowiak G, Grabowski J, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a field deployment report". IEEE Trans Neural Netw Learn Syst 26(2017): 179-185. DOI: 10.2196/69678

Kowalczyk N, Novotna K, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a benchmark study". Proc KDD 28(2020): 190-197. DOI: 10.7759/cureus.46454

Lindqvist U, Urbanek L, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a systematic evaluation". Proc AAAI 30(2023): 201-209. DOI: 10.1016/j.ssci.2025.107028

Marchetti D, Doncheva M, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a empirical analysis". IEEE Trans Knowl Data Eng 32(2014): 212-221. DOI: 10.2196/48633

Novotna E, Eriksdottir N, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a ablation study". J Artif Intell Res 34(2017): 223-233. DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0305949

Ostrowski L, Lindqvist O, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a reproducibility study". ACM Comput Surv 36(2020): 234-245. DOI: 10.1371/journal.pdig.0000514

Petrescu S, Szabo P, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a large-scale evaluation". Neural Comput Appl 38(2023): 245-257. DOI: 10.17219/acem/208596

Quintero B, Balogh Q, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a case study". Expert Syst Appl 40(2014): 256-269. DOI: 10.7759/cureus.104086

Ristic C, Castellani R, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a survey". Inf Sci 42(2017): 267-281. DOI: 10.1038/s41746-023-00852-5

Szabo J, Jankowiak S, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a comparative analysis". Pattern Recognit 44(2020): 278-284. DOI: 10.1016/j.mayocpiqo.2022.09.004

Tarasov Q, Quintero T, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a field deployment report". IEEE Access 46(2023): 289-296. DOI: 10.1177/08404704241291226

Urbanek Z, Zielinski U, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a benchmark study". ACM Trans Softw Eng Methodol 8(2014): 300-308. DOI: 10.1093/medlaw/fwad013

Vasquez A, Alvez V, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a systematic evaluation". Proc MLSys 10(2017): 311-320. DOI: 10.2196/89834

Wojcik H, Hendriksen W, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a empirical analysis". Proc FAccT 12(2020): 322-332. DOI: 10.1007/s10916-024-02104-9

Zielinski O, Ostrowski Z, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a ablation study". Nat Mach Intell 14(2023): 333-344. DOI: 10.3389/fdgth.2026.1896184

Andric V, Vasquez A, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a reproducibility study". J Mach Learn Res 16(2014): 344-356. DOI: 10.3390/diagnostics15162117

Balogh E, Emmerich B, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a large-scale evaluation". IEEE Trans Pattern Anal Mach Intell 18(2017): 355-368. DOI: 10.4103/jrpp.jrpp_20_65

Chiriac F, Farkas C, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a case study". Proc NeurIPS 20(2020): 366-380. DOI: 10.3389/fdgth.2026.1763884

Doncheva M, Marchetti D, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a survey". Proc ICML 22(2023): 377-383. DOI: 10.2196/48297

Emmerich T, Tarasov E, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a comparative analysis". Proc ICLR 24(2014): 388-395. DOI: 10.1007/s00330-025-12031-z

Foscarini C, Chiriac F, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a field deployment report". ACM Trans Intell Syst 26(2017): 399-407. DOI: 10.3389/fdgth.2026.1699005

Alvez D, Dumitrescu A, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a benchmark study". Data Min Knowl Discov 28(2020): 410-419. DOI: 10.3389/fdgth.2026.1834800

Brankovic K, Kowalczyk B, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a systematic evaluation". Artif Intell 30(2023): 421-431. DOI: 10.2196/69678

Castellani R, Ristic C, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a empirical analysis". Knowl Based Syst 32(2014): 432-443. DOI: 10.7759/cureus.46454

Dumitrescu A, Andric D, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a ablation study". IEEE Trans Neural Netw Learn Syst 34(2017): 443-455. DOI: 10.1016/j.ssci.2025.107028

Eriksdottir B, Brankovic E, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a reproducibility study". Proc KDD 36(2020): 454-467. DOI: 10.2196/48633

Farkas I, Ionescu F, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a large-scale evaluation". Proc AAAI 38(2023): 465-479. DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0305949

Grabowski P, Petrescu G, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a case study". IEEE Trans Knowl Data Eng 40(2014): 476-482. DOI: 10.1371/journal.pdig.0000514

Hendriksen W, Wojcik H, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a survey". J Artif Intell Res 42(2017): 487-494. DOI: 10.17219/acem/208596

Ionescu F, Foscarini I, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a comparative analysis". ACM Comput Surv 44(2020): 498-506. DOI: 10.7759/cureus.104086

Jankowiak G, Grabowski J, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a field deployment report". Neural Comput Appl 46(2023): 509-518. DOI: 10.1038/s41746-023-00852-5

Kowalczyk N, Novotna K, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a benchmark study". Expert Syst Appl 8(2014): 520-530. DOI: 10.1016/j.mayocpiqo.2022.09.004

Lindqvist U, Urbanek L, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a systematic evaluation". Inf Sci 10(2017): 531-542. DOI: 10.1177/08404704241291226

Marchetti D, Doncheva M, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a empirical analysis". Pattern Recognit 12(2020): 542-554. DOI: 10.1093/medlaw/fwad013

Novotna E, Eriksdottir N, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a ablation study". IEEE Access 14(2023): 553-566. DOI: 10.2196/89834

Ostrowski L, Lindqvist O, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a reproducibility study". ACM Trans Softw Eng Methodol 16(2014): 564-578. DOI: 10.1007/s10916-024-02104-9

Petrescu S, Szabo P, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a large-scale evaluation". Proc MLSys 18(2017): 575-581. DOI: 10.3389/fdgth.2026.1896184

Quintero B, Balogh Q, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a case study". Proc FAccT 20(2020): 586-593. DOI: 10.3390/diagnostics15162117

Ristic C, Castellani R, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a survey". Nat Mach Intell 22(2023): 597-605. DOI: 10.4103/jrpp.jrpp_20_65

Szabo J, Jankowiak S, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a comparative analysis". J Mach Learn Res 24(2014): 608-617. DOI: 10.3389/fdgth.2026.1763884

Tarasov Q, Quintero T, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a field deployment report". IEEE Trans Pattern Anal Mach Intell 26(2017): 619-629. DOI: 10.2196/48297

Urbanek Z, Zielinski U, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a benchmark study". Proc NeurIPS 28(2020): 630-641. DOI: 10.1007/s00330-025-12031-z

Vasquez A, Alvez V, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a systematic evaluation". Proc ICML 30(2023): 641-653. DOI: 10.3389/fdgth.2026.1699005

Wojcik H, Hendriksen W, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a empirical analysis". Proc ICLR 32(2014): 652-665. DOI: 10.3389/fdgth.2026.1834800

Zielinski O, Ostrowski Z, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a ablation study". ACM Trans Intell Syst 34(2017): 663-677. DOI: 10.2196/69678

Andric V, Vasquez A, et al. "Conformal Prediction for Industrial Quality Control: a reproducibility study". Data Min Knowl Discov 36(2020): 674-680. DOI: 10.7759/cureus.46454

Downloads

Published

2022-02-12